The fairy tale of economic growth is told with a section on people moving to big cities to earn a better life. That story appears to be true for countries like Indonesia and Malaysia, but has not been the case in Liberia and Madagascar. A new chart from The Economist shows that the picture is not all that clear. However, before making grand statements about urbanization and increased incomes, it is worth pointing out that only a few countries in each region are shown in the chart. It is also important to compare the urban wages verses rural wages. If cities have significantly higher wages than urban areas, than growth in urban populations at the same time of stagnating income growth is still an overall income improvement for most people in a given country.
UNICEF issued a report earlier in the year warning of the challenges faced by children living in the rapidly growing urban centers. The report says that recent estimates have 70% of the world's population living in cities by 2050. The present challenge is that 60% of people in Sub-Saharan Africa live in 'slum conditions.'
The report said that action must be taken to:
UNICEF issued a report earlier in the year warning of the challenges faced by children living in the rapidly growing urban centers. The report says that recent estimates have 70% of the world's population living in cities by 2050. The present challenge is that 60% of people in Sub-Saharan Africa live in 'slum conditions.'
The report said that action must be taken to:
The recommendations are not all that revealing but are all the more important when considering some of dubious prospects for income growth in some urban centers.
- Better understand the scale and nature of poverty and exclusion affecting children in urban areas.
- Identify and remove the barriers to inclusion.
- Ensure that urban planning, infrastructure development, service delivery and broader efforts to reduce poverty and inequality meet the particular needs and priorities of children.
- Promote partnership between all levels of government and the urban poor – especially children and young people.
- Pool the resources and energies of international, national, municipal and community actors in support of efforts to ensure that marginalized and impoverished children enjoy their full rights.

6 comments:
charts showing links between urbanization and income need census data to be valid for the years they span. Almost all the countries shown on the charts above did not have new census data so what happened 2000 to 2010 was based on whatever assumptions went into making the projections. For most nations in Sub Saharan Africa, we have no reliable census data for 20 years. It is likely that the actual urbanization rates are much lower than those used in these charts for many sub-Saharan African nations.
Good to know about the problems with the census data. I think I remember seeing something about a more comprehensive estimate of the people living Kiberia that estimated something closer to 400,000 or so people as opposed to some claims of up to 1 million. Thanks for the comment
Hi Tom,
we have been studying the impact of urbanisation on the urban Poor in Southeast Asia in four cities in particular Jakarta, Manila, Hanoi and Vientiane.
Our results also show that the "Not so fast" message of caution is very justified. Many of the lowest income groups do not benefit from high growth rates and booming economies in the cities. They struggle to make a living in the informal economy of those urban centers.
Some of our research results are published in two Bulletins on Jakarta's and Manila's Poor
http://bit.ly/ATM_Bulletin_17
Are you planning to write more on the impact of urbanisation and how it fares on inclusive growth?
best regards
Johannes
(http://www.asiantrendsmonitoring.com)
Thanks, Johannes. I will certainly post more on it as I learn about the subject. Thanks for the resources. If you ever want to write about the subject here, feel free to drop me a line.
Its more than urbanization, especially for places like Liberia and Zimbabwe, which arguably were under even more striking trends (warfare, idiocracy). Those chosen in SE Asia do not include N. Korea nor Burma, which would be more representative w/ Liberia and Zim.
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Cindy
www.gofastek.com
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